Documents disponibles écrits par cet auteur

Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options / Ram, C. in Journal of the operational research society (JORS), Vol. 62 N° 5 special issue (Mai 2011) 

Public ISBD [article]  in Journal of the operational research society (JORS) > Vol. 62 N° 5 special issue (Mai 2011) . - pp. 817–829 Titre : Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options Type de document : texte imprimé Auteurs : Ram, C., Auteur ; Montibeller, G., Auteur ; Morton, A., Auteur Année de publication : 2011 Article en page(s) : pp. 817–829 Note générale : Recherche opérationnelle Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Decision  analysis  Strategic  planning  Scenario Index. décimale : 001.424 Résumé : Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is well equipped to deal with conflicting, qualitative objectives when evaluating strategic options. Scenario planning provides a framework for confronting uncertainty, which MCDA lacks. Integration of these methods offers various advantages, yet its effective application in evaluating strategic options would benefit from scenarios that reflect a larger number of wide-ranging scenarios developed in a time-efficient manner, as well as incorporation of MCDA measures that inform within and across scenario comparison of options. The main contribution of this paper is to illustrate how a more diverse set of scenarios could be developed quickly, and to investigate how regret could be used to facilitate comparison of options. First, the reasons for these two areas of development are elaborated with respect to existing techniques. The impacts of applying the proposed method in practice are then assessed through a case study involving food security in Trinidad and Tobago. The paper concludes with a discussion of findings and areas for further research. DEWEY : 001.424 ISSN : 0160-5682 En ligne : http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jors/journal/v62/n5/abs/jors201090a.html [article] Extending the use of scenario planning and MCDA for the evaluation of strategic options [texte imprimé] / Ram, C., Auteur ; Montibeller, G., Auteur ; Morton, A., Auteur . - 2011 . - pp. 817–829. Recherche opérationnelle Langues : Anglais (eng) in Journal of the operational research society (JORS) > Vol. 62 N° 5 special issue (Mai 2011) . - pp. 817–829 Mots-clés : Decision  analysis  Strategic  planning  Scenario Index. décimale : 001.424 Résumé : Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is well equipped to deal with conflicting, qualitative objectives when evaluating strategic options. Scenario planning provides a framework for confronting uncertainty, which MCDA lacks. Integration of these methods offers various advantages, yet its effective application in evaluating strategic options would benefit from scenarios that reflect a larger number of wide-ranging scenarios developed in a time-efficient manner, as well as incorporation of MCDA measures that inform within and across scenario comparison of options. The main contribution of this paper is to illustrate how a more diverse set of scenarios could be developed quickly, and to investigate how regret could be used to facilitate comparison of options. First, the reasons for these two areas of development are elaborated with respect to existing techniques. The impacts of applying the proposed method in practice are then assessed through a case study involving food security in Trinidad and Tobago. The paper concludes with a discussion of findings and areas for further research. DEWEY : 001.424 ISSN : 0160-5682 En ligne : http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jors/journal/v62/n5/abs/jors201090a.html