[article]
Titre : |
The midweight method to measure attitudes toward risk and ambiguity |
Type de document : |
texte imprimé |
Auteurs : |
Gijs van de Kuilen, Auteur ; Peter P. Wakker, Auteur |
Année de publication : |
2011 |
Article en page(s) : |
pp. 582-598 |
Note générale : |
Management |
Langues : |
Anglais (eng) |
Mots-clés : |
Prospect theory Ambiguity Probability weighting Pessimism |
Index. décimale : |
658 Organisation des entreprises. Techniques du commerce |
Résumé : |
This paper introduces a parameter-free method for measuring the weighting functions of prospect theory and rank-dependent utility. These weighting functions capture risk attitudes, subjective beliefs, and ambiguity attitudes. Our method, called the midweight method, is based on a convenient way to obtain midpoints in the weighting function scale. It can be used both for risk (known probabilities) and for uncertainty (unknown probabilities). The resulting integrated treatment of risk and uncertainty is particularly useful for measuring ambiguity, i.e., the difference between uncertainty and risk. Compared to existing methods to measure weighting functions and attitudes toward uncertainty and ambiguity, our method is more efficient and can accommodate violations of expected utility under risk. An experiment demonstrates the tractability of our method, yielding plausible results such as ambiguity aversion for moderate and high likelihoods but ambiguity seeking for low likelihoods, as predicted by Ellsberg. |
DEWEY : |
658 |
ISSN : |
0025-1909 |
En ligne : |
http://mansci.journal.informs.org/cgi/content/abstract/57/3/582 |
in Management science > Vol. 57 N° 3 (Mars 2011) . - pp. 582-598
[article] The midweight method to measure attitudes toward risk and ambiguity [texte imprimé] / Gijs van de Kuilen, Auteur ; Peter P. Wakker, Auteur . - 2011 . - pp. 582-598. Management Langues : Anglais ( eng) in Management science > Vol. 57 N° 3 (Mars 2011) . - pp. 582-598
Mots-clés : |
Prospect theory Ambiguity Probability weighting Pessimism |
Index. décimale : |
658 Organisation des entreprises. Techniques du commerce |
Résumé : |
This paper introduces a parameter-free method for measuring the weighting functions of prospect theory and rank-dependent utility. These weighting functions capture risk attitudes, subjective beliefs, and ambiguity attitudes. Our method, called the midweight method, is based on a convenient way to obtain midpoints in the weighting function scale. It can be used both for risk (known probabilities) and for uncertainty (unknown probabilities). The resulting integrated treatment of risk and uncertainty is particularly useful for measuring ambiguity, i.e., the difference between uncertainty and risk. Compared to existing methods to measure weighting functions and attitudes toward uncertainty and ambiguity, our method is more efficient and can accommodate violations of expected utility under risk. An experiment demonstrates the tractability of our method, yielding plausible results such as ambiguity aversion for moderate and high likelihoods but ambiguity seeking for low likelihoods, as predicted by Ellsberg. |
DEWEY : |
658 |
ISSN : |
0025-1909 |
En ligne : |
http://mansci.journal.informs.org/cgi/content/abstract/57/3/582 |
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