Risk taking by decision makers—using card-based decision gaming to develop models of behaviour / J. Medhurst in Journal of the operational research society (JORS), Vol. 61 N° 11 (Novembre 2010)  

Public ISBD [article]  inJournal of the operational research society (JORS) > Vol. 61 N° 11 (Novembre 2010) . - pp. 1561–1571 Titre : Risk taking by decision makers—using card-based decision gaming to develop models of behaviour Type de document : texte imprimé Auteurs : J. Medhurst, Auteur ; I. Stanton, Auteur ; A. Berry, Auteur Année de publication : 2011 Article en page(s) : pp. 1561–1571 Note générale : Recherche opérationnelle Langues : Anglais (eng) Mots-clés : Decision analysis Military Gaming Regression Index. décimale : 001.424 Résumé : This paper describes an experimental method for determining the value of different types of information to military decision makers. The experimental method used a simple scenario and a set of serials constructed from cards, each presenting a single piece of information and presented sequentially. Each of a number of pairs of players were taken through the scenario and asked to judge how they would respond to the situation. This paper extends on the method presented in previous papers to consider the case of a decision in which the response can both increase and decrease as more information is presented. This allows a more general military problem to be considered, that of risk-taking behaviour in response to the possibility of chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear events. DEWEY : 001.424 ISSN : 01605682 En ligne : http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jors/journal/v61/n11/abs/jors2009130a.html [article] Risk taking by decision makers—using card-based decision gaming to develop models of behaviour [texte imprimé] / J. Medhurst, Auteur ; I. Stanton, Auteur ; A. Berry, Auteur . - 2011 . - pp. 1561–1571. Recherche opérationnelle Langues : Anglais (eng) in Journal of the operational research society (JORS) > Vol. 61 N° 11 (Novembre 2010) . - pp. 1561–1571 Mots-clés : Decision analysis Military Gaming Regression Index. décimale : 001.424 Résumé : This paper describes an experimental method for determining the value of different types of information to military decision makers. The experimental method used a simple scenario and a set of serials constructed from cards, each presenting a single piece of information and presented sequentially. Each of a number of pairs of players were taken through the scenario and asked to judge how they would respond to the situation. This paper extends on the method presented in previous papers to consider the case of a decision in which the response can both increase and decrease as more information is presented. This allows a more general military problem to be considered, that of risk-taking behaviour in response to the possibility of chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear events. DEWEY : 001.424 ISSN : 01605682 En ligne : http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jors/journal/v61/n11/abs/jors2009130a.html

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